Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2916.976540 3154.164351 3394.635538 3656.366112 3932.879736 4215.999941 4527.467882
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2516.990255 2867.972642 3237.332525 3653.767648 4108.959246 4590.169051 5136.089656
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2302.755041 2727.061180 3185.874248 3716.329516 4310.114278 4951.754556 5694.915833
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2087.131462 2556.898883 3077.016982 3691.430859 4393.134607 5165.337019 6075.048020
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1972.050297 2486.561823 3067.691695 3766.582480 4578.027040 5484.304740 6566.639818
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1845.439851 2391.338100 3019.591298 3787.831823 4693.402499 5718.507620 6957.908599
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1726.002880 2295.444940 2962.511264 3790.991674 4781.336548 5916.307473 7303.963218
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1562.654896 2136.119754 2820.522659 3684.370164 4731.960645 5947.707742 7451.010996
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1527.612242 2132.340211 2864.283452 3799.365832 4945.510363 6287.976123 7961.729173
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1476.784293 2104.933622 2875.939113 3872.725323 5107.322750 6566.431447 8400.176954
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1396.198667 2034.794971 2830.306175 3871.690486 5175.604691 6730.990536 8701.807944
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1310.035421 1952.833125 2765.636786 3843.036229 5206.669526 6848.239483 8945.036533
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1255.267753 1911.036299 2751.817983 3879.181011 5320.161266 7069.290306 9319.717099
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1187.693792 1848.807922 2708.863021 3875.932143 5382.897239 7227.755922 9618.964516
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1152.571928 1828.938947 2719.906853 3941.303970 5532.044410 7493.463653 10051.547517
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1084.889725 1760.392547 2663.168564 3915.287168 5562.084631 7609.153868 10297.635019
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1060.764326 1751.914339 2686.164439 3993.807785 5726.750266 7894.427588 10756.612944
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1017.988687 1714.557729 2668.034654 4016.006579 5817.257630 8085.733941 11098.421416
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 971.349370 1669.342345 2637.130117 4019.307500 5881.779776 8243.411088 11398.044923
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 889.408609 1568.113889 2524.526621 3907.909045 5791.449160 8199.973947 11440.221700
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 887.090440 1586.248974 2580.281303 4028.055370 6010.375106 8556.729953 11995.511816
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 871.237980 1582.866940 2604.774081 4104.679693 6171.241633 8839.166767 12457.348196
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 832.505625 1542.445306 2574.488780 4103.598913 6226.418314 8983.642204 12741.959044